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Tale of the Tape: #8 George Mason vs #9 Villanova

George Mason Basketball: Tale of the Tape: #8 George Mason vs #9 Villanova

Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Tale of the Tape: #8 George Mason vs #9 Villanova

Here is a statistical breakdown of how the two teams match-up.  Right now George Mason is looking like a 1.5 point favorite.  Tomorrow we will post a Q & A conversation we had with the guys over at VU Hoops for some inside analysis on Jay Wright and the Villanova Wildcats this season.

Statistically the Patriots have the edge in a lot of categories but as you know this is March Madness and that tends to make some of these categories meaningless in the grand scheme of things. Both head coaches are defensive guys and neither team gives up a lot of points. One stat that could turn out to be the difference in the game is turnovers.  Although Mason has the slight edge here on average they did cough up the ball 14 times in their last game against VCU. Villanova has had double digit turnovers in three of their last six games.   

Sidenote: Villanova's sophomore Maalik Wayns had 24 points in Villanova's 70-69 loss to South Florida in the Big East tournament. He's been averaging 22.8 points per game over his last four contests.

When looking at the Four Factors chart below that we have been posting here after every game, you notice that no team really has a huge advantage in any of the key factors. 'Nova has a slight edge in their offensive rebounding and getting to the free throw line.

Don't forget to join the Bracket Challenge: (password is mason)

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Anonymous @erikhernquist said...

In a game this close, it could come down to the disparity in FT% (69% vs 75.8%).

4:27 PM  
Anonymous DJP said...

Amazing that Mason's 1.13 PPP is 23 (!) ranks better than Nova's 1.1.

I think the most important matchup in this game will be Cam vs. Maalik Wayns. Both are their respective team's catalysts (especially Wayns, who has had to pick up the pace with Fisher and Strokes struggling), and both can provide late-game heroics. This is going to be quite the physical battle. GO PATRIOTS!

4:52 PM  
Anonymous gmuhoops said...

Update: Injured Villanova center Mouphtaou Yarou, who didn't play last year against Mason, seems like hes a go for Friday's game

4:57 PM  
Anonymous Bensays2002 said...

You really can't rely on these stats when one team plays in the toughest basketball conference in the nation. The "tale of the tape" can only be used effectively when 2 teams play a similar type schedule. Thats not the case here.

5:08 PM  
Anonymous stallworth said...

Villanova will come hungry to win and they can perform on a big stage.

Go Mason!

5:56 PM  
Anonymous Charlie T said...

Every where you turn there is some type of analysis from ESPN,CBS SPORTS,RADIO and of course here. That is just another item that makes this and every game so great. I loved being in Dayton in 06 but I wish I could have been here to hear the comments before,during and after the games. As for this one it appears both teams are somewhat similar in style. The very old song "Little things mean alot" will play a very big role.I just think both teams bigs will be the difference. By that second chance shots,rebounds,who fouls who and how many fouls the inside gets so that depth is only an issue for one not both. Its not so much the points they(The Bigs) score its how they affect the game. No Big East team should be very happy not being a heavy favorite over a Mid-major but in this case Mason has a solid history. Coach L loves these game and he will have them ready,the rest will be up to them.

7:05 PM  
Anonymous Patotobin said...

so true, we are the underdog here, lat's a suckers line (-1.5). We gotta chance, but you gotta get out early and find that offensive flow.

8:25 PM  
Anonymous Mooky_l3d said...

I think that the team that scores the most will probably win! Analysis complete!

9:07 PM  
Anonymous Patotobin said...

Team A. scores 10 x from 10 feet for a total of 20 points.
Team B. scores 9 x from behind the arc for a total of 27 points.

Team A. scores more times.
Team B. Scores more points.

So, the team that scores the most does not always win, but you said probably... so, actually your analysis is correct, and i just wasted my time, and yours.

2:37 AM  

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